Australia’s hotel market is holding a broadly positive course into 2025, with revenue and occupancy underpinned by international arrivals, strong city demand and constrained new supply, even as domestic visitor nights show signs of easing from recent peaks.

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Aerial view of Australian waterfront hotels and city skyline at sunset.

Domestic Visitor Nights Edge Down After Rapid Rebound

Recent tourism data indicates that Australia’s domestic travel boom has begun to cool, with total domestic visitor nights slipping from earlier highs. Tourism Research Australia’s latest domestic statistics show that nationwide domestic visitor nights reached about 104.7 million in 2025, a decline of roughly 2.6 percent compared with the previous year, reflecting softer demand from some interstate and regional segments.

This moderation follows several years of elevated domestic activity, when Australians opted to holiday at home while international borders were restricted and outbound travel remained expensive. As more residents resume overseas trips and household budgets tighten, the domestic market that had been filling hotel rooms across regional and city destinations is no longer expanding at the same pace.

Despite this shift, overall domestic travel volumes remain close to pre pandemic benchmarks. Analysis published by the OECD notes that domestic overnight trips in 2023 were still only a few percentage points below 2019 levels, underscoring that the current decline is from a high base rather than a collapse in demand. For hotel operators, the transition marks a move from extraordinary conditions to a more balanced pattern of visitation.

Hotel Performance Supported by Pricing and Urban Demand

While domestic visitor numbers have softened, performance indicators for Australian hotels remain broadly positive. Industry reporting drawing on STR data and national tourism benchmarks points to continued growth in revenue per available room, driven in part by higher average daily rates and resilient occupancy in major cities such as Sydney, Melbourne and Adelaide.

Destination-focused updates highlight how capital city markets are benefiting from strong events calendars and a recovery in both corporate and leisure travel. In Sydney, for example, hotel operators have recorded elevated occupancy levels around peak periods, with preliminary data for recent summer and holiday seasons pointing to high room rates and near full capacity on key nights. Similar trends are visible in other gateway cities where business events, concerts and sporting fixtures are stimulating overnight stays.

Reports from hotel consultancies suggest that operators are largely maintaining pricing power, even as growth in domestic trips slows. This reflects a combination of limited new openings, continued demand from higher spending segments and a willingness by guests to pay premiums for centrally located, well serviced accommodation. The result is that, at a national level, hotel revenue metrics remain above 2019 benchmarks despite more measured domestic activity.

International Arrivals and Flight Capacity Offset Domestic Softness

A key factor underpinning the positive outlook is the continued recovery of international tourism. Tourism research and aviation industry analyses show that inbound arrivals to Australia have been strengthening, supported by additional airline capacity and the gradual return of key markets such as New Zealand, the United States, the United Kingdom, China and India.

Consulting and brokerage firms tracking the relationship between aviation growth and hotel demand report that new and reinstated international services are adding hundreds of thousands of room nights to the market, particularly in gateway cities. As more long haul routes resume and frequencies increase across Asia Pacific and North America, hotels close to international airports and central business districts are capturing a larger share of visitors who might previously have opted for short stay rentals.

This uplift in international demand is especially important at a time when some domestic segments are becoming more price sensitive. Published analysis of Australia’s economy shows that households have experienced a notable decline in real disposable incomes since 2019, contributing to pressure on discretionary spending, including domestic holidays. Inbound travellers, by contrast, are often less affected by local cost of living trends and more focused on Australia as a once in a lifetime destination, supporting higher yielding hotel bookings.

Alongside demand factors, supply side conditions are helping to sustain a positive hotel outlook. Reports from global real estate services groups focusing on the Australian market highlight that elevated construction costs and challenging development economics have significantly slowed the hotel pipeline. With many proposed projects deferred or re scoped, national room supply growth is expected to remain modest over the next several years.

A recent Australian hotel overview from a major property consultancy characterises the 2025 outlook as positive, noting that transaction volumes dipped in 2024 due to higher interest rates and a gap between vendor and purchaser expectations. However, the same analysis suggests that as financing conditions stabilise and earnings visibility improves, investor appetite for quality hotel assets is expected to strengthen, particularly in core capital city locations.

For existing operators, the slower pace of new supply is broadly supportive. Limited additions to room stock mean that even a mild softening in domestic visitor nights does not automatically translate into weaker pricing. Instead, many hotels are using the window to refurbish properties, refine their market positioning and pursue more profitable segments such as meetings, incentives, conferences and events, as well as premium leisure.

Regional Destinations Adjust Strategies Amid Changing Demand

Conditions are more mixed outside the major capitals, where hotels and resorts are more exposed to domestic holidaymakers. As Australians redistribute their travel budgets between domestic and overseas trips, some regional destinations that benefited from the surge in intrastate travel during the pandemic are now contending with flatter occupancy and shorter average stays.

Tourism bodies in several states are responding with targeted campaigns designed to encourage longer regional breaks, highlight nature based and food and wine experiences, and promote shoulder season travel. Publicly available information from state tourism agencies points to an emphasis on higher yielding segments, including events and niche experiences, rather than simply pursuing volume growth in visitor numbers.

Industry analysts note that regional markets with strong destination branding, accessible transport links and a diversified visitor base are generally performing better than those reliant on a narrow catchment area. Over time, improvements in domestic tourism data collection and reporting, including the rollout of new quarterly statistics, are expected to give regional hotel owners more granular insight into changing travel patterns and assist with revenue management and investment decisions.

Taken together, these trends suggest that although domestic visitor numbers have eased from their post pandemic highs, Australia’s hotel market retains a solid foundation, anchored by tight supply, recovering international demand and the enduring appeal of the country’s urban and regional destinations.