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Early forecasts for 2026 suggest that American travelers are preparing for a year of steady, if cautious, growth in trips, with domestic getaways, selective big-ticket international journeys and longer, slower stays shaping plans across income groups.
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Spending Rises, but at a Slower Pace
Industry forecasts indicate that overall travel spending in the United States is set to edge higher in 2026, but not at the breakneck pace seen immediately after pandemic restrictions eased. Data from the U.S. Travel Association’s latest projections show total travel outlays continuing to climb in inflation-adjusted terms, with leisure remaining the main growth engine while business travel inches forward more slowly.
Business travel spending, which grew modestly in 2025, is projected to add only a fraction more in 2026 as companies keep a tight hold on budgets and combine meetings where possible. Analysts note that this measured recovery means conferences and corporate events are returning, but trips are more purpose driven and often shorter, with fewer add-on leisure days than before.
Leisure travel, by contrast, is expected to post healthier gains as Americans prioritize time off despite economic uncertainty. Industry reports suggest travelers are trading sheer trip volume for trip quality, consolidating multiple short breaks into one or two more meaningful vacations each year. For destinations, this points to fewer last-minute surges but more predictable, higher-value bookings spread across the calendar.
At the same time, international visitor spending in the United States is still working its way back to earlier peaks, and recent research warns that the country risks ceding market share if bottlenecks in visas, air capacity or border processing are not addressed. For American travelers, that dynamic could translate into more competitive pricing abroad than at home, reinforcing the appeal of overseas travel for those with the means to go.
Domestic Getaways and “Near‑International” Trips Gain Ground
American travelers appear poised to favor closer-to-home options in 2026, continuing a pattern that took hold during the pandemic and persisted in recent years. Domestic trips still account for the vast majority of U.S. travel spending, and projections show that share remaining high next year as travelers look to manage costs on airfare and currency swings.
Within the United States, secondary cities, small towns and rural regions look set to benefit from this trend. Vacation rental platforms report that much of their growth is coming from communities without large hotels, pointing to a sustained appetite for lake houses, mountain cabins and coastal cottages reachable by car or a single short flight. This dispersal of demand is helping smooth out crowding in the most famous national parks and beach hubs, although peak summer pressure remains intense in marquee locations.
Beyond U.S. borders, short-haul international travel is likely to be a particular bright spot. Forecasts for North American tourism point to continued strength in traffic between the United States, Mexico and the Caribbean, with Americans drawn by relatively quick flight times, package deals and an expanding range of all-inclusive and boutique options. Industry observers also note the rise of “near-international” long weekends, where travelers spend just three or four nights abroad but focus on one city or resort rather than multi-stop itineraries.
This tilt toward nearby and regional trips reflects a broader desire to minimize transit time and stress. With airlines still recalibrating schedules and travelers wary of disruptions, many Americans are choosing destinations that feel adventurous while remaining logistically straightforward, especially when traveling with children or older relatives.
Once‑a‑Year Big Trips and the Rise of “Intentional” Travel
Survey data from major travel brands suggest that 2026 will see more Americans concentrating their discretionary travel budgets on a single, higher-impact vacation rather than several smaller outings. Reports describe this as a “go big when you go” approach, driven by limited vacation time, higher everyday costs at home and a lingering sense that significant trips should not be postponed indefinitely.
In practice, this means more multi-country itineraries in Europe and longer journeys to Asia and the Pacific for those who can afford the higher airfares. Travel advisors say that travelers planning these trips are increasingly specific about what they want to experience, with strong interest in local food, cultural festivals and outdoor activities. Rather than ticking off as many cities as possible, many itineraries build in extra nights in fewer places to allow for rest and exploration.
At the same time, “intentional travel” is emerging as a watchword across age groups. Younger Americans in particular are showing interest in trips that align with personal values, such as supporting independent hotels, visiting lesser-known regions or incorporating volunteer components. Published coverage of recent travel seasons points to a growing market for small-group tours that emphasize cultural immersion, as well as for rail and coach options that reduce the number of flights in a given trip.
This more deliberate mindset is also visible in how far ahead people are booking. While some travelers still chase last-minute deals, data from booking platforms show solid growth in reservations made several months out for major holidays and school breaks. For 2026, that is likely to mean a busier-than-usual early booking window for summer, particularly for Europe, Alaska cruises and popular national parks.
Longer Stays, Hybrid Work Trips and “Slomads”
Another notable trend shaping 2026 plans is the continued shift toward longer stays, especially among Americans who can work remotely or flexibly. Research using U.S. booking data from short-term rental platforms over the past several years has documented a rise in reservations lasting several weeks or longer, suggesting that a segment of travelers is blending work and vacation in new ways.
These travelers, sometimes described as “slomads,” tend to favor walkable neighborhoods, reliable connectivity and access to everyday services such as grocery stores and co-working spaces. For U.S. destinations, they can provide a more stable source of spending over shoulder seasons, helping smooth the sharp peaks and troughs associated with traditional holiday travel. Cities with strong digital infrastructure and appealing outdoor access, from mountain towns to mid-sized coastal metros, are positioning themselves to compete for this market.
Hybrid work trips also continue to influence patterns. Some Americans are attaching a few vacation days to mandatory office visits or conferences, effectively turning required travel into an opportunity to see friends and family or explore a nearby destination. While this does not fully replace dedicated leisure trips, it helps sustain occupancy in urban hotels that rely on weekday business demand.
However, longer stays and work-from-anywhere arrangements are prompting conversations about housing availability and neighborhood change in popular destinations. Local debates over short-term rental regulations are expected to continue in 2026, with communities seeking a balance between welcoming visitor spending and protecting long-term residents’ access to housing.
Affordability, Flexibility and Sustainability Shape Choices
Affordability concerns are likely to weigh heavily on American travel decisions in 2026, even as many people prioritize taking at least one trip. Consumer surveys fielded in late 2025 and early 2026 indicate that travelers remain sensitive to airfare and hotel prices, with a substantial share saying they will adjust destination choices or trip length if costs rise further.
One response is a renewed focus on flexibility. Travelers are showing strong interest in changeable or refundable bookings, even when they come at a premium, and in travel insurance that covers delays and disruptions. Flexible arrangements gained traction earlier in the decade and now appear to be a lasting expectation, especially for international or complex itineraries.
Sustainability is another factor influencing where and how Americans will travel next year, although price remains the overriding concern for many. Reports from global tourism organizations highlight growing demand for options that reduce environmental impact, such as staying longer in one place, choosing non-stop flights where possible and supporting accommodations that publicly share their environmental practices. Younger travelers, in particular, are more likely to say they would pay a modest premium for lower-impact options, even if they still seek value overall.
For destinations and travel providers, these overlapping priorities translate into a push to show clear value, transparent pricing and credible sustainability measures. As 2026 approaches, industry watchers expect that Americans will keep traveling, but they will do so more selectively, with each trip planned to deliver more meaning, comfort and reassurance per mile traveled.