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Hong Kong is drawing more visitors but earning less from each of them, with average tourism spending reported to be about 44 percent below 2018 levels, prompting a renewed push for big-ticket events and closer integration with mainland China to keep travelers in the city longer.
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Arrivals Rebound While Wallets Stay Shut
Recent statistics from Hong Kong’s tourism authorities and census data indicate that the city’s visitor arrivals have staged a strong recovery from the pandemic slump, reaching more than 44 million in 2024 and rising further this year. Yet publicly available figures and legislative papers show that spending per visitor remains markedly weaker than before Covid-19, with sector representatives citing a roughly 44 percent decline compared with 2018.
Analysts note that this disconnect between headcount and expenditure is reshaping the tourism economy. Same-day visitors from mainland China, traditionally heavy buyers of cosmetics, electronics and daily goods, appear more price-sensitive and less inclined to shop extensively in Hong Kong’s malls. At the same time, some non-mainland visitors are spending more than before, but they represent a smaller share of total arrivals and cannot fully offset the fall in average outlays.
The weaker spending trend is particularly evident in retail and dining. Industry reports describe softer receipts in traditional shopping districts and restaurant corridors despite busy streets and packed public transport, suggesting that many travelers are hunting for bargains rather than big-ticket purchases. This pattern has fueled concerns among retailers and hoteliers that the recovery may look robust on paper while delivering thinner margins in practice.
From Shopping Hub to “Mega-Events City”
With shopping-driven tourism no longer the sure bet it once was, Hong Kong is leaning heavily into a new positioning as a year-round events capital. Government briefings and tourism board materials outline significant funding increases for destination marketing, along with an expanded calendar of cultural festivals, sports tournaments and large-scale exhibitions designed to give visitors more reasons to stay overnight.
In recent months, the city has mounted fireworks displays, parade-style celebrations and themed campaigns around Lunar New Year and other holidays, highlighting waterfront promenades, heritage neighborhoods and contemporary arts spaces. Major book fairs, lifestyle expos and trade shows at the harborside convention center are being promoted not only to business delegates but also to leisure travelers as anchor events for a longer visit.
Officials are also backing “mega events” that blend culture, entertainment and sport, in line with trends seen in destinations such as Singapore and Dubai. These include expanded arts festivals, marquee concerts and international competitions in rugby, football and e-sports. Publicly available information shows that the goal is to create a dense year-round itinerary so that multiple happenings overlap, encouraging visitors to extend stays or plan repeat trips.
Deeper Mainland Links Aim to Lift Overnight Stays
The other core pillar of Hong Kong’s tourism shift lies across the border. As part of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area strategy, the city is promoting multi-destination itineraries that link its skyline and harbor with neighboring mainland cities such as Shenzhen, Guangzhou and Zhuhai, as well as Macao. Tourism planners argue that such cross-border products can attract higher-spending travelers who treat Hong Kong as a cultural and events hub within a wider regional circuit.
Transport connections underpin this approach. High-speed rail services, new cross-boundary bridges and expanded airport capacity are being marketed as seamless gateways that allow visitors to arrive through Hong Kong and then fan out across southern China. In return, mainland residents are being encouraged to incorporate one or more nights in Hong Kong when visiting Macao’s resorts or Guangdong’s theme parks and shopping centers.
Official and industry papers suggest that this integration effort is particularly targeted at mainland business travelers and conference delegates, who typically generate above-average hotel and corporate spending. By positioning itself as the preferred venue for conventions and exhibitions serving the broader Greater Bay Area, Hong Kong hopes to capture more midweek traffic and smooth out the peaks and troughs of weekend leisure tourism.
Tourism Mix Shifts as Visitors Seek Value
The 44 percent slide in tourism spending compared with 2018 has sparked debate over whether Hong Kong’s traditional mass-market model can still thrive in an era of cheaper regional competitors and rising outbound travel from its own residents. Commentaries and research reports point to a structural change in visitor behavior, with more travelers favoring short breaks, budget hotels and neighborhood dining over luxury shopping sprees.
Retail landlords and hospitality operators are already adjusting. Streetfront spaces that once housed international fashion brands have in some cases been subdivided for smaller local tenants, while hotels are experimenting with bundled offers tied to concerts, museum exhibitions and food festivals rather than relying on room-only stays. Some analysts argue that success will depend on whether Hong Kong can differentiate itself through experiences rather than prices, given that many consumer goods are now cheaper online or across the border.
There are also signs that domestic and regional travelers are becoming more discerning about authenticity and value. Tourism surveys cited in policy papers show growing interest in heritage walks, outdoor activities and neighborhood cultural experiences, especially among younger visitors. This trend aligns with the city’s push to spotlight lesser-known districts and outlying islands, potentially spreading tourism income more evenly beyond established shopping zones.
Balancing Visitor Numbers With Sustainable Growth
While the rebound in arrivals has eased some of the pressure on Hong Kong’s tourism workforce and related sectors, the spending slump has raised questions about how to measure success. Business groups and economists increasingly emphasize yield per visitor and average length of stay, rather than headline arrival counts, as key indicators of a healthy tourism economy.
Policy proposals under discussion in public forums include further incentives for high value-added segments such as meetings, incentives, conferences and exhibitions, medical tourism, and arts and cultural travel. Some observers also argue for closer coordination between tourism planning, urban development and transport policies to manage crowding, protect residential neighborhoods and ensure that major events benefit local communities as well as visitors.
For now, Hong Kong’s strategy rests on a delicate balance: attracting more visitors through aggressive marketing and expanded connectivity, while simultaneously persuading them to stay longer and spend more on experiences that showcase the city’s distinct character. If the current mix of mega events, regional integration and neighborhood-focused initiatives succeeds, the recent 44 percent spending gap with 2018 could narrow. If not, the city may face a prolonged period in which bustling streets mask a quieter story in the cash registers.