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International tourism to the United States is losing momentum just as the country hosts the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with fresh data showing fewer foreign visitors and early evidence that the long‑anticipated soccer showcase has not yet translated into the hoped‑for influx of travelers.
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Arrivals Slide Below 2024 Levels
Publicly available data from the National Travel and Tourism Office indicates that 72.4 million international visitors came to the United States in 2024, still below the 79.4 million recorded in 2019 before the pandemic. More recent figures compiled through May 2025 show that year‑to‑date international arrivals were about 2.4 percent lower than during the same period a year earlier, signaling that the steady post‑pandemic rebound has stalled.
Recent analytical summaries of federal statistics suggest that the slowdown continued into late 2025, with roughly four million fewer foreign visitors than in 2024 and an estimated 5 to 6 percent decline in total arrivals. Visitor spending reportedly fell by more than 8 billion dollars, undercutting expectations that international demand would strengthen in the run‑up to the World Cup.
The softening has not been uniform across markets. According to congressional research based on official arrival counts, visitors from Argentina and Israel showed notable year‑over‑year gains through spring 2025, while Canada and South Korea posted double‑digit percentage declines. Canada, historically the largest single source of international visitors to the United States, has been a particular weak spot, weighing heavily on overall totals.
Forecasters at the U.S. Department of Commerce had anticipated continued growth in overseas travel through the middle of the decade, but the latest numbers point to a more fragile recovery. Industry economists note that even modest percentage drops translate into millions of lost visitors when applied to a market of the United States’ scale.
World Cup Expectations Meet Softer Reality
The 2026 World Cup, hosted jointly by the United States, Canada and Mexico, was widely billed as a turning point for inbound tourism. Prior to the tournament, promotional materials from international and national tourism bodies referenced projections of several million additional visitors across the three host countries and a substantial lift in hotel and consumer spending in the 11 U.S. host cities.
Yet as matches got underway, early indicators from hotel and booking data painted a more subdued picture. Coverage drawing on figures from hospitality analytics firms reported that New York City hotels had sold a smaller share of rooms for the World Cup period than they had a year earlier for the same dates, despite years of marketing that framed the event as a once‑in‑a‑generation tourism windfall.
Similar patterns have been noted in several other North American host cities. National media summaries of CoStar and Tourism Economics data describe weaker than expected hotel demand in New York, Toronto and Miami on match days, with some properties resorting to price cuts to fill rooms that had been expected to command significant premiums.
The American Hotel & Lodging Association has circulated analysis suggesting that, on a national basis, the World Cup may add only a fraction of a percentage point to total U.S. hotel revenue in 2026, concentrated in a small number of destinations and a narrow window of weeks. That contribution, while meaningful for individual properties near stadiums, is unlikely to fully offset the broader decline in international arrivals that has emerged since 2024.
Mixed Performance Across Host Cities
Beneath the national numbers, the experience of individual host cities has varied sharply. Industry reports indicate that destinations such as Dallas, Houston and parts of Northern California have seen comparatively strong advance bookings around match dates, benefiting from a combination of large stadium capacities, strong regional air connectivity and comparatively lower accommodation costs.
By contrast, some traditional gateway cities that had been expected to draw large numbers of international fans have yet to see the hoped‑for boost. Publicly available booking data for New York and Seattle, cited in regional and national news coverage, show hotel reservations running below the previous year’s levels for the weeks surrounding their scheduled matches. In Seattle, where tourism officials had already reported a slight decline in total visitors in 2025, analysts note that international overnight stays in particular are forecast to fall sharply.
Market commentators point to a range of potential explanations. High ticket prices for matches, steep airfares and accommodation costs in the most popular cities, and lingering concerns about visa processing times may all be dampening demand from some overseas fans. At the same time, local residents in host cities appear to be adjusting their own travel plans, with some choosing to stay away from downtown areas or to avoid traveling during the tournament period altogether, offsetting inbound gains.
Some city‑level studies prepared for state legislatures and municipal councils ahead of the tournament had warned that projected World Cup benefits were highly sensitive to assumptions about international visitor behavior and length of stay. With many fans traveling for only a few days and focusing their spending near stadiums and fan zones, the broader urban tourism sector in certain destinations is receiving a smaller lift than headline forecasts once implied.
Structural Headwinds Weighing On US Appeal
The recent slowdown in visitor numbers is unfolding against a backdrop of broader structural challenges for U.S. inbound tourism. Industry associations and travel analysts highlight a combination of high travel costs, a strong U.S. dollar, tighter household budgets in key source markets and competition from destinations that have moved aggressively to capture pent‑up post‑pandemic demand.
Surveys conducted by research firms such as YouGov and Tourism Economics on behalf of tourism organizations show strong global interest in attending World Cup matches in North America, but they also reveal persistent concerns among potential travelers about overall trip affordability. Respondents frequently cite ticket prices, accommodation costs and airline fares as primary barriers to attending.
Visa processing and border formalities remain another friction point. While official U.S. policy documents emphasize efforts to streamline entry procedures for legitimate travelers, travel trade publications continue to report on long wait times for visitor visa appointments in some countries and lingering perceptions that travel to the United States involves more administrative hurdles than competing destinations in Europe or Asia.
Reputation and safety perceptions have also become part of the conversation. Commentary in international media and travel forums increasingly references concerns about gun violence, political polarization and the broader social climate in the United States. While such factors are difficult to quantify, some tourism economists argue that they may be contributing to the relative underperformance of U.S. inbound travel when compared with certain European and Latin American markets that have already exceeded their pre‑pandemic arrival records.
Industry Looks Beyond the Tournament
Despite the short‑term disappointment around the World Cup’s immediate impact, many in the travel and tourism sector continue to view the tournament as an opportunity to reposition the United States in the global marketplace over a longer horizon. Destination marketing organizations are leveraging the event’s global broadcast reach to promote lesser‑known regions and experiences, from national parks to smaller cities outside the core host metros.
Analysts note that mega‑events often have complex and uneven effects on tourism, with some destinations experiencing only modest short‑term gains but benefitting later from heightened brand awareness. Studies of past World Cups and Olympic Games show that visitor growth can materialize several years after the event, as viewers who discovered a destination during the broadcasts choose to visit later under more favorable economic conditions.
For now, however, the numbers point to a tougher environment for U.S. inbound travel than many policymakers and industry leaders had anticipated when the World Cup hosting rights were awarded. With international arrivals slipping and early tournament‑period demand underperforming expectations in several key cities, the United States faces a significant challenge in converting global attention on the matches into a durable recovery in foreign visitation.
As updated data are released through the rest of 2026 and into 2027, tourism officials, airlines and hospitality companies are likely to scrutinize not only how many additional visitors came for the World Cup, but also whether the event managed to reverse, or merely mask, a broader loss of momentum in the country’s appeal to international travelers.